Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005654 0.006450 0.007367 0.008517 0.009935 0.011652 0.013923
2026-01-25 0.004484 0.005431 0.006625 0.008278 0.010577 0.013768 0.018752
2026-02-01 0.003751 0.004712 0.005991 0.007883 0.010737 0.015117 0.022923
2026-02-08 0.003247 0.004185 0.005486 0.007507 0.010754 0.016165 0.026977
2026-02-15 0.002999 0.003965 0.005357 0.007629 0.011530 0.018639 0.034877
2026-02-22 0.002732 0.003680 0.005084 0.007465 0.011767 0.020199 0.041830
2026-03-01 0.002495 0.003410 0.004797 0.007222 0.011798 0.021348 0.048602
2026-03-08 0.002309 0.003197 0.004573 0.007048 0.011911 0.022706 0.057104
2026-03-15 0.002223 0.003130 0.004572 0.007261 0.012839 0.026301 0.076725
2026-03-22 0.002163 0.003095 0.004619 0.007567 0.014038 0.031171 0.109188
2026-03-29 0.002118 0.003080 0.004695 0.007940 0.015493 0.037628 0.165734
2026-04-05 0.002010 0.002952 0.004557 0.007860 0.015840 0.040845 0.213459
2026-04-12 0.001911 0.002839 0.004452 0.007864 0.016494 0.045966 0.307895
2026-04-19 0.001793 0.002686 0.004259 0.007657 0.016552 0.049026 0.409376
2026-04-26 0.001669 0.002513 0.004015 0.007303 0.016110 0.049782 0.492347
2026-05-03 0.001559 0.002358 0.003791 0.006965 0.015642 0.050220 0.586532
2026-05-10 0.001510 0.002308 0.003763 0.007075 0.016557 0.058247 1.080858
2026-05-17 0.001437 0.002210 0.003634 0.006926 0.016626 0.062027 1.653968
2026-05-24 0.001363 0.002105 0.003483 0.006708 0.016413 0.064112 2.386191
2026-05-31 0.001300 0.002018 0.003363 0.006551 0.016376 0.067425 3.966050
2026-06-07 0.001277 0.002002 0.003382 0.006743 0.017631 0.081504 22.280726
2026-06-14 0.001262 0.002000 0.003431 0.007019 0.019319 0.102970 NaN
2026-06-21 0.001252 0.002006 0.003496 0.007354 0.021419 0.135419 NaN